The watcher's Ukraine. I'd stake...well, I suppose I can't stake my life on it anymore, but I'll stake my ghostly spirit on it. After all, the first people you'd investigate would be those you're closest to, right? And Lithuania said he'd asked them to check me, meaning it had to be both someone who was comfortable enough with him to approach him and to take advice from him, as well as someone who would investigate him before they'd investigate me. Finally, Lithuania's not an idiot. He didn't call the watcher by something gender neutral, he referred to them as a 'he'. I doubt he'd make a slip of the tongue like that unless he intended to.

So...a woman who's close enough to Lithuania to want to check him early on, but not to me. There's only one person it could be. If the hunters are smart, they'll kill her tonight. Prussia and I had been talking about targeting her once I died anyway to make them think there aren't any more nations among us.